The House GOP’s growing pains

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Jan 31, 2023 View in browser
 
POLITICO Playbook

By Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels and Ryan Lizza

Presented by

The American Petroleum Institute (API)

With help from Eli Okun and Garrett Ross

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) speaks with reporters as he departs the U.S. Capitol.

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) speaks with reporters as he departs the U.S. Capitol Jan. 27, 2023. | Francis Chung/POLITICO

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DRIVING THE DAY

FIRST LOOK: OMAR’S NEXT ACT — As House Republicans try to boot Rep. ILHAN OMAR off the House Foreign Affairs Committee, the Minnesota Democrat is laying the groundwork to maintain her leadership on key international issues. Today, we’re told, Omar will launch a new U.S.-Africa policy working group aimed at organizing bipartisan briefings with administration officials, NGOs and other Africa experts who are tackling issues ranging from agriculture and infrastructure to governance and climate change. Read Omar’s full statement

THE GOING GETS TOUGH — One month into the House Republican majority, a clear picture is emerging of the problems Speaker KEVIN McCARTHY will face managing his slim, five-seat majority. (That is, if the chaotic speaker election didn’t make things clear enough.)

Already, Republicans are scrambling to salvage red-meat proposals they’ve been talking about for months, whether it’s cracking down on the southwest border or targeting Omar’s committee seat. Yes, it’s early going, but the new majority’s struggles in passing messaging bills does not bode well for the more consequential legislation that will have to clear the House later on.

“Nothing in a majority this narrow is going to be easy,” Rep. BILL JOHNSON (R-Ohio) said, in what we might call the understatement of the year.

Steve Scalise talking with reporters while walking in a hallway in the U.S. Capitol.

House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-La.) speaks with reporters at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 30, 2023. | Francis Chung/POLITICO

Two key dynamics we’re watching this week:

1. PROMISES MADE: In late December, House Majority Leader STEVE SCALISE laid out plans for the House to pass 11 top-priority bills and resolutions the first two weeks of the GOP takeover. It’s almost February, and they’ve passed only six.

While the new majority cleared bills curbing IRS funding and abortions and launched three new investigative panels, they’ve had to push pause on legislation dealing with the southern border and criminal justice — including a symbolic resolution opposing efforts to defund law enforcement.

As for the border bill, which would give the Department of Homeland Security new powers to keep migrants from entering, GOP leaders are facing a centrist backlash over fears that the bill could block legitimate asylum claims. “[O]ne, it’s not Christian, and two, to me, it’s very anti-American,” said border Rep. TONY GONZALES (R-Texas) in a sharp survey of the rift by WaPo’s Marianna Sotomayor and Theo Meyer.

Ilhan Omar listening to a news conference in front of a backdrop of the U.S. Capitol dome.

Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) listens during a news conference on Jan. 10, 2019 at the Capitol in Washington, D.C. | Alex Wong/Getty Images

2. WHITHER OMAR: After Democrats booted two GOP reps from their committees over extremist remarks in 2021, McCarthy promised immediately to respond in kind once he held the speaker’s gavel — including by sidelining Omar over past antisemitic remarks she has apologized for.

But hopes of a tit-for-tat have been spoiled for now. “I don’t know if it will be this week,” House Majority Whip TOM EMMER (R-Minn.) told Playbook last night, though he expressed confidence that they’ll have the votes eventually. “We’ve got some people out.”

It’s more than an attendance issue, however. Three Republicans say they won’t vote to oust Omar, including Reps. KEN BUCK (R-Colo.) and VICTORIA SPARTZ (R-Ind.), who have both argued, in essence, that two wrongs don’t make a right. Rep. NANCY MACE (R-S.C.), meanwhile, has denounced the effort as a form of “cancel culture.”

But there are much broader concerns about an Omar ouster. Last night, Rep. MATT GAETZ (R-Fla.) told Newsmax that he’s undecided — explaining that while he supported McCarthy’s decision to kick California Democrats ADAM SCHIFF and ERIC SWALWELL off the Intelligence Committee (whose roster is filled at the speaker’s discretion), he had qualms about lumping Omar in the same category.

“It’s one thing to do dangerous things to the country with intelligence, it’s quite another to say, ‘I don’t like your viewpoint and thus I want to remove you,’” he said. “I don’t support that.”

Also undecided is Rep. DAVID JOYCE (R-Ohio), leader of the centrist Republican Governance Group, who told Playbook last night he has pressed party leaders to ensure Omar will get a chance to defend herself.

“Everyone is entitled to due process,” the former prosecutor said.

McCARTHY MINDMELD — Leadership allies downplayed this week’s whipping headache, arguing that they’ll eventually pass the remaining top-priority bills outlined by Scalise as soon as they get minor tweaks in committee.

It’s all part of getting a majority up and running, they argue, pointing out that less than half of the House GOP conference has ever served in the majority. They also note that these bills will go through “regular order” — passing through committee, just as McCarthy’s critics demanded during the speakership battle.

Republicans believe they’re on much firmer political ground this week, meanwhile, as they tee up several bills on Covid-related matters — including one up for consideration today that would immediately end the national public health emergency surrounding the pandemic.

The vote concerned House Democratic leaders enough that they asked the Biden administration to weigh in on the matter, a well-placed source told us last night. That prompted a White House statement yesterday confirming its plans to let the emergency lapse on May 11. More from Adam Cancryn

In a bid to tamp down potential Democratic defections, the Statement of Administration Policy warned that under a sudden cancellation “tens of millions of Americans could be at risk of abruptly losing their health insurance, and states could be at risk of losing billions of dollars in funding.”

The White House memo also argued that the bill would immediately end the Title 42 border protocol that the GOP largely supports, leading to “a substantial additional inflow of migrants at the Southwest border.” That argument sparked a hullabaloo among House Republicans, with Rep. MIKE GARCIA (R-Calif.) going so far as to accuse the White House of having “lied to the American people.”

Still, expect to hear House Democrats argue today that a longer phase-out is the more responsible course.

Good Tuesday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Want to explain who the Kelce brothers are to Rachael, a fellow Ohioan? Drop us a line: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza.

 

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NEW ALEXANDER BURNS TOMORROW COLUMN — “Liz Truss Crashes the (Republican) Party”: “The former British prime minister, banished from office after a disastrous rollout of her tax-cut plan, finds new allies in American conservatives.”

POWERFUL READ — “For Giffords, Progress on Gun Safety Is Like Her Recovery: ‘Inch by Inch,’” by NYT’s Sheryl Gay Stolberg

 

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BIDEN’S TUESDAY:

9 a.m.: The president will receive the President’s Daily Brief.

10:05 a.m.: Biden will depart the White House en route to New York City.

12:30 p.m.: Biden will deliver remarks on the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law.

3:30 p.m.: Biden will participate in a DNC reception.

4:45 p.m.: Biden will depart New York to return to the White House.

Principal deputy press secretary OLIVIA DALTON and Infrastructure Implementation Coordinator MITCH LANDRIEU will gaggle aboard Air Force One en route to New York.

VP KAMALA HARRIS’ TUESDAY:

1:55 p.m.: The VP will ceremonially swear in JESSICA DAVIS BA as U.S. Ambassador to Côte d’Ivoire.

4:25 p.m.: Harris will award the Congressional Space Medal of Honor to two recipients.

THE HOUSE will meet at 10 a.m. and noon to consider the Freedom for Health Care Workers Act and the Pandemic is Over Act.

THE SENATE will meet at 10 a.m

 

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PHOTO OF THE DAY

President Joe Biden waves after speaking about infrastructure at the Baltimore and Potomac Tunnel North Portal in Baltimore, Monday, Jan. 30, 2023.

President Joe Biden waves after speaking about infrastructure at the Baltimore and Potomac Tunnel North Portal in Baltimore, Monday, Jan. 30, 2023. | Andrew Harnik/AP Photo

PLAYBOOK READS

ALL POLITICS

BATTLEGROUND BLUES — “How Democrats got sidetracked in their swing state of the future,” by Elena Schneider: “While North Carolina has delivered just enough mixed results to make clear it is, in fact, winnable for the party, including Democratic Gov. ROY COOPER’s two terms, there have been more than enough GOP victories to see Democratic money, effort and attention turn to other states that have been changing more rapidly. That’s left North Carolina Democrats having to fight for the resources now flowing freely into places like Arizona and Georgia.”

SELLING THE SOUTH — “Southern Democrats rally for Atlanta 2024 convention,” by NBC’s Alex Seitz-Wald: “Southern Democrats are … arguing the choice would solidify the party's gains in Georgia and demonstrate commitment to the entire region.” Read the letter

2024 WATCH — “Sen. Tim Scott headed to Iowa in February, fueling more GOP presidential speculation,” by Fox News’ Paul Steinhauser

PASSING UP THE TORCH — “Haley Stevens passes on bid for Michigan Senate seat,” by The Hill’s Lauren Sforza

ELECTIONS HAVE CONSEQUENCES — “Top Arizona election official seeks campaign-violation probe of Kari Lake,” by WaPo’s Yvonne Wingett Sanchez in Phoenix … “N.C. candidate backed by Mark Meadows facing federal charge over campaign donation,” by The Charlotte Observer’s Danielle Battaglia

JUST POSTED — “Hunter Biden’s allies weigh legal-defense fund for president’s son,” by WaPo’s Matt Viser, Michael Scherer and Carol D. Leonnig

THE WHITE HOUSE

A TALE OF TWO NEGOTIATORS …

The view from the White House: “Biden’s message to McCarthy ahead of critical White House meeting: Show me your plan,” by CNN’s Phil Mattingly: “Biden, asked by CNN what his message to McCarthy would be in that meeting, said it would be ‘show me your budget and I’ll show you mine.’”

The view from the speaker’s office: “Kevin McCarthy and House GOP weigh debt ceiling demands ahead of Biden meeting,” by CNN’s Manu Raju, Melanie Zanona and Lauren Fox: “For McCarthy, the challenge will be in balancing the interests of House Republicans eager to use their leverage on the debt ceiling to enact priorities that would otherwise be ignored by the White House and the Senate — but also finding a deal with Democrats without being seen as caving into their demands.”

CLICKER — “To Understand Why Republicans Are Divided on the Debt Ceiling, Consider Dr. Seuss,” by NYT’s Nate Cohn

PREVIEWING SOTU — “Gun safety groups to Biden: Your work isn’t done,” by Myah Ward: A coalition of 117 organizations is seeking “a series of executive actions and for the White House to detail how it plans to implement the historic gun legislation the president signed into law last year.” Read the letter

DOCU-DRAMA — “Burn Bags and Tracking Numbers: How the White House Handles Classified Files,” by NYT’s Michael Shear …  “Calls mount to curb classification,” by Josh Gerstein in Austin, Texas

CONGRESS

TESTING TRUMP’S GRIP — Burgess Everett and Marianne LeVine take the temperature of the GOP side of the Senate to see whether DONALD TRUMP’s former backers will hold their support for the former president as he continues rolling out a 2024 campaign. “Some Republicans, particularly those in senior positions, said there’s a lot of hope for a different candidate,” they write. But at least two freshmen are all-in for Trump at the moment: Ohio’s J.D. VANCE, who is mulling an official endorsement, and Missouri’s ERIC SCHMITT, who told Burgess and Marianne that he’s supporting Trump.

INTERBRANCH CLASH — “Secret hold restricts DOJ's bid to access phone of Trump ally Rep. Scott Perry,” by Kyle Cheney and Josh Gerstein: “A federal appeals court panel has put a secret hold on the Justice Department’s effort to access the phone of Rep. SCOTT PERRY [(R-Penn.)] as part of a broader probe of efforts by Donald Trump and his allies to subvert the 2020 election. In a sealed order issued earlier this month, the three-judge panel temporarily blocked a lower-court ruling that granted prosecutors access to Perry’s communications.”

Notable: “One person familiar with the situation said the Bipartisan Legal Advisory Group – made up of House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Leader HAKEEM JEFFRIES and others in leadership – voted unanimously to intervene,” CNN’s Sara Murray reports.

SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT — Sen. DIANNE FEINSTEIN (D-Calif.) told Bloomberg’s Laura Litvan that she would announce her decision of whether to run for reelection sometime in the spring. “Not in the winter. I don’t announce in the winter.”

A NEW ROLE FOR STENY — “House Dems tap Hoyer to lead new regional council,” by Katherine Tully-McManus

JUST POSTED — “Can Joe Manchin Broker a Debt Deal as Republicans Try to Unseat Him?” per NYT’s Luke Broadwater

TRUMP CARDS

MAR-A-LAGO LATEST — “2 people who searched Trump properties for classified documents testified before federal grand jury in Mar-a-Lago probe,” by CNN’s Kaitlan Collins and Katelyn Polantz: “The extent of information they offered the grand jury remains unclear, though they didn’t decline to answer any questions, one of the sources said.”

BOOK CLUB — “Trump Sues Journalist Bob Woodward for Releasing Interview Recordings,” by Bloomberg’s Mario Parker and Zoe Tillman: “Trump claimed that although he had given [BOB] WOODWARD consent to record their conversations ‘for the sole purpose of a book,’ that didn’t extend to packaging those recordings as an audiobook.”

POLICY CORNER

PILL PINGPONG — “Biden administration to strengthen Obamacare contraceptive mandate in proposed rule,” by CNN’s Tami Luhby and Jacqueline Howard: “The Biden administration wants to make it easier for women to access birth control at no cost under the Affordable Care Act, reversing Trump-era rules that weakened the law’s contraceptive mandate for employer-provided health insurance plans.”

CRYPTO CRISIS CONTINUES — “Crypto collapse spurs calls for new rules to crack down on abuse,” by Sam Sutton: “The epic implosion of digital exchange FTX is sparking a torrent of lawsuits and legal threats among crypto financiers scrambling to salvage what they can from the wreckage. Small investors stand little chance of being made whole.”

Related reads: “FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried Sought Leniency From Foreign Regulators, Says Justice Department,” by WSJ’s James Fanelli and Vicky Ge Huang … “New FTX Filing Pulls Back The Curtain On Sam Bankman-Fried’s Massive Influence Peddling Operation,” by The Intercept’s Lee Fang, Ken Klippenstein and Daniel Boguslaw

 

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WAR IN UKRAINE

WHAT ZELENSKYY WANTS — “Ukraine’s Zelensky Urges Faster Weapons Deliveries Amid Russian Push,” by WSJ’s Ian Lovett and Isabel Coles

WHAT BIDEN ISN’T GIVING — “Biden seemingly rejects request to send U.S. F-16s to Ukraine,” by Alexander Ward

WHAT MACRON MIGHT BE GIVING — “France doesn’t rule out sending warplanes to Ukraine,” AP

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

EYES ON LIMA — “A group of House Democrats is urging the Biden administration to suspend all U.S. security assistance to Peru over a ‘pattern of repression’ of antigovernment protests that has resulted in more than 50 civilian deaths,” AP’s Joshua Goodman reports.

Related read: “Peace Corps evacuates volunteers from Peru amid worsening political crisis,” by Alexander Ward and Nahal Toosi

PIVOT TO ASIA — “Biden Team Weighs Fully Cutting Off Huawei From US Suppliers,” by Bloomberg’s Jenny Leonard and Ian King …  “U.S. military poised to secure new access to key Philippine bases,” by WaPo’s Ellen Nakashima and Rebecca Tan

BLINKEN IN ISRAEL — “The U.S. on Israel’s far-right government: It is what it is,” by Nahal Toosi: “Biden and his aides are making nice with Israel’s new far-right government — and they’re doing it in a highly public fashion.”

THE PANDEMIC

FOLLOWING THE MONEY — “$5.4 billion in covid aid may have gone to firms using suspect Social Security numbers,” by WaPo’s Tony Romm: “The top watchdog overseeing stimulus spending — called the Pandemic Response Accountability Committee, or PRAC — offered the new estimate in an alert issued Monday and shared early with The Washington Post. It came as House Republicans prepared to hold their first hearing this week to study the roughly $5 trillion in total federal stimulus aid approved since spring 2020.”

THE RIPPLE EFFECT — “Students Lost One-Third of a School Year to Pandemic, Study Finds,” by NYT’s Emily Baumgaertner

THE ECONOMY

THE VIEW FROM WALL STREET — “Wall Street Is Counting on a Debt Limit Trick That Could Entail Trouble,” by NYT’s Jeanna Smialek, Jim Tankersley and Joe Rennison: “Washington’s debt limit drama has Wall Street betting that the United States will employ a fallback option to ensure it can make good on payments to its lenders even if Congress doesn’t raise the nation’s borrowing limit before America runs out of cash. But that untested idea has significant flaws and has been ruled out by the Biden administration, which could make it less of a bulwark against disaster than many investors and politicians are counting on.”

ON ONE HAND — “Prospects for the global economy are improving, as worst fears fade,” by WaPo’s David Lynch: “American employers continue to hire at a steady clip while the latest European manufacturing gauges signal expansion and Chinese consumers are spending again.”

ON THE OTHER — “The U.S. Consumer Is Starting to Freak Out,” by WSJ’s Harriet Torry and Joe Pinsker: “Retail purchases have fallen in three of the past four months. Spending on services, including rent, haircuts and the bulk of bills, was flat in December, after adjusting for inflation, the worst monthly reading in nearly a year. Sales of existing homes in the U.S. fell last year to their lowest level since 2014 as mortgage rates rose. The auto industry posted its worst sales year in more than a decade.”

The week ahead: “Smaller Rate Increase by Federal Reserve Is Likely as Inflation Cools,” by NYT’s Jeanna Smialek

BEYOND THE BELTWAY

THE LATEST IN MEMPHIS — “Initial Police Report on Tyre Nichols Arrest Is Contradicted by Videos,” by NYT’s Jessica Jaglois, Nicholas Bogel-Burroughs and Mitch Smith: “A police report written hours after officers beat TYRE NICHOLS was starkly at odds with what videos have since revealed.”

TRAGEDY IN FLORIDA — “At least 10 people wounded in Lakeland, Florida, shooting, police say,” by CNN’s Amy Simonson and Theresa Waldrop

WATER IS FOR FIGHTING — “California lone holdout in consensus for Colorado River cuts,” by AP’s Felicia Fonseca and Suman Naishadham

MEDIAWATCH 

FYI — “Matt and Mercedes Schlapp Off the Air at Fox News After Groping Allegation,” by Mediaite’s Aidan McLaughlin

 

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PLAYBOOKERS

Greg Steube is inviting the “Good Samaritan” who helped care for him after he fell off a ladder to the State of the Union.

Eric Garcetti unveiled his official portrait done by Shepard Fairey.

Joe Wilson is planning to get a drink with Boris Johnson.

Thomas Massie is, so far, a team player on the House Rules Committee.

Jair Bolsonaro seems to be enjoying life as a Florida man.

OUT AND ABOUT — SPOTTED: Speaker Kevin McCarthy dining with GOP pollster Frank Luntz at Cactus Cantina on Sunday.

— SPOTTED at House Majority Leader Steve Scalise’s dinner for newly seated committee chairs at Ocean Prime yesterday evening: Reps. Jodey Arrington (R-Texas), Michael Bost (R-Ill.), James Comer (R-Ky.), Virginia Foxx (R-N.C.), Mike Gallagher (R-Wis.), Glenn “GT” Thompson (R-Pa.), Kay Granger (R-Texas), Sam Graves (R-Mo.), Mark Green (R-Tenn.), Michael Guest (R-Miss.), Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), Frank Lucas (R-Okla.), Mike Rogers (R-Ala.), Jason Smith (R-Mo.), Bryan Steil (R-Wis.), Michael Turner (R-Ohio) and Bruce Westerman (R-Ark.).

Future Forum PAC and Future Forum Foundation held a reception for the new Congress last night on the rooftop of 700 Pennsylvania Ave. SE to celebrate the new leaders of Future Forum, including newly elected co-chairs Reps. Haley Stevens (D-Mich.), Darren Soto (D-Fla.), Colin Allred (D-Tex.) and Brittany Pettersen (D-Colo.). Former Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D-Fla.) was announced as the new chair of Future Forum Foundation and Molly Allen was selected as the Foundation’s new executive director. SPOTTED: Reps. Brendan Boyle (D-Eagles), Nikki Budzinski (D-Ill.), Yadira Caraveo (D-Col.), Chris Deluzio (D-Pa.), Maxwell Frost (D-Fla.), Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.), Jimmy Gomez (D-Calif.), Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.), Jeff Jackson (D-N.C.), Andy Kim (D-N.J.), Greg Landsman (D-Ohio), Morgan McGarvey (D-Ky.), Wiley Nickel (D-N.C.), Chris Pappas (D-N.H.), Hillary Scholten (D-Mich.), and Eric Swalwell (D-Calif.), Dao Nguyen, Brad Howard, Kristen Hawn, Kelsey Odom, Jen Walsh, Franklin Davis, Dan Christenson, Jeff Murray, Courtney Lee-Ashley, Rich Lopez, Libby Greer, Rob Harris, Moyer McCoy, Chris Davis, Andrew Okuyiga, Jared Weaver, Michael Spira and Tom Tilton.

MEDIA MOVE — Cady Stanton is now a congressional reporter at Tax Notes/Tax Analysts. She most recently was a breaking news reporter for USA Today.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Josh Cartin is now a partner at strategic advisory and risk intelligence firm TD International, where he will focus on Asia. He most recently was chief of staff at the Global Engagement Center at the State Department.

TRANSITIONS — Grant Lawlor is now digital director for the House Rules Committee. He previously was press secretary for Rep. Guy Reschenthaler (R-Pa.). … Caroline Donlon is now the clerk for the House Rules Committee. She previously was scheduler for Rep. Jay Obernolte (R-Calif.). … Yannick Gill is now legislative director for Rep. Summer Lee (D-Pa.). He previously was legislative counsel for Rep. Madeleine Dean (D-Pa.). …

Gabriela Melendez-Olivera is now director of strategic comms for external affairs at Bitwise Industries. She previously was strategic comms director at the ACLU. … Sarah Flaim will be comms director and senior adviser for House Budget Chair Jodey Arrington (R-Texas). She previously was comms director and senior adviser for House Appropriations Chair Kay Granger (R-Texas). … Bill Rockwood is now finance counsel for Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.). He previously was deputy legislative director for Rep. Darren Soto (D-Fla.) and executive director of the Future Forum Caucus.

WELCOME TO THE WORLD — Lauren Gardner, FDA reporter at POLITICO, and Patrick Ambrosio, deputy news director at Bloomberg Industry Group, welcomed Olivia Rosemary Ambrosio on Friday. PicAnother pic

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Reps. Bill Huizenga (R-Mich.), Garret Graves (R-La.), Dutch Ruppersberger (D-Md.), Michael Waltz (R-Fla.), Melanie Stansbury (D-N.M.) and Russell Fry (R-S.C.) … David PlotzDylan Byers … former House Majority Leader Dick GephardtNic Pottebaum … NYT’s Katherine Miller … former Interior Secretary James Watt Heather RileyChris MarklundBarbara SlavinAli Zaidi Nathan Lewin … former Reps. Larry Kissell (D-N.C.) and Gwen Graham (D-Fla.) … David Thomas … CNN’s Christine Romans and Clarissa Ward …Fox News’ Martha MacCallum … NBC’s Sarah Blackwill … POLITICO’s Angel Torres and Michael Doyle … NPR’s Peter SagalTim Naftali … USTR’s Conor Harrington Michael Kempner of MWW … Fred KargerChristopher SemenasMatthew GottliebAmos Friedland Tom O’DonnellTricia McLaughlin David Karol of the National Association of Manufacturers … Sam Dorn (3-0)

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